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Prediction Markets Surge to $24 B, Trump Fights State Bans

6/3/2026

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Story summary
  • Prediction-market trading rose from about $5 billion in September 2025 to $24 billion by April 2026, sparking a federal-state clash over regulation.
  • U.S. President Donald Trump posted on Truth Social that the Commodity Futures Trading Commission must retain exclusive authority over prediction markets.
  • Illinois Governor J.B. Pritzker banned state employees from betting on prediction platforms with confidential information.
  • Minnesota Governor Tim Walz signed the nation’s first statewide prohibition of prediction markets.