Full Breakdown
Adam Thompson Highlights Home Run Prop Picks for June 4 MLB Slate
6/4/2026, 11:06:46 PM
Thursday, June 4 Home Run Prop Focus
SportsLine analyst Adam Thompson identified two home-run prop candidates for the nine-game MLB slate on Thursday, June 4. He backs catcher Shea Langeliers of the Oakland Athletics at +239 on FanDuel and first baseman Freddie Freeman of the Los Angeles Dodgers at +468 on DraftKings. Both targets face Chicago’s Shota Imanaga and Arizona’s Ryne Nelson, respectively.
Key Figures & Groups: Adam Thompson
Adam Thompson is a SportsLine analyst known for an analytics-driven approach to matchup exploitation across the NFL, MLB, and NBA. Over the past two seasons he has posted more than 70 profit units in MLB betting and over 60 units in NBA wagering, and he produced winners in college basketball, horse racing, and golf.
Schedule Overview and Pitching Conditions
The Thursday slate splits evenly between afternoon and evening games, ending with the Dodgers-Diamondbacks series finale. At Wrigley, wind is expected to blow out to left, aiding pull hitters. Cubs starter Shota Imanaga has yielded eight homers in his last three starts, five at Wrigley. Arizona starter Ryne Nelson has allowed 15 homers in 12 starts and posts a 5.97 ERA at home, showing trouble containing long balls.
Primary Candidates: Shea Langeliers and Freddie Freeman
Shea Langeliers, the 23-year-old Athletics catcher, is known for a high-flight swing. His OPS versus left-handed pitchers is .951, higher than against righties, and he hits more homers on the road and at night. Freddie Freeman, a veteran left-handed Dodgers first baseman, plays in a lineup ranked third in MLB home runs, second in runs scored, and first in batting average.
Statistical Rationale Behind the Picks
Thompson cites key metrics. Langeliers has one homer in his last six games, a rebound with wind assistance. Freeman has two at-bats versus Nelson, one resulting in a homer, and his road batting average is 100 points higher than his overall average. By contrast, Shohei Ohtani is 2-for-15 against Nelson with no RBIs or homers, highlighting Nelson’s vulnerability to left-handed power. Freeman’s last two games produced a 5-for-11 line with a homer, confirming his hot streak.
Betting Implications and Market Odds
The odds list Langeliers as a moderate-risk play at +239 and Freeman at +468, a higher-risk, higher-reward option. Thompson’s proven success in MLB betting reinforces confidence in these selections. Bettors may consider Wrigley’s wind and Nelson’s home-run susceptibility when sizing stakes.
Upcoming Matchups and Follow-Up Opportunities
If Langeliers’ prop hits, his next start comes in the Athletics’ series against the Chicago White Sox, where wind remains favorable. Freeman’s next game is the Dodgers’ opening series versus the San Diego Padres, another chance to leverage the Dodgers’ lineup against new pitching. Thompson’s future prop picks will reflect these evolving conditions.
