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China's Oil Drawdown Hits Low; Fertilizer Surge Drives Food Prices

6/7/2026

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Story summary
  • China is drawing down oil reserves, buying several million barrels less than last year and reaching its lowest level.
  • Analysts say the drawdown could trigger an oil price spike if the war does not end within a month.
  • Rising fertilizer costs—nitrogen-based up 40-50% and other fertilizers at least 20%—are driving food prices to stay high for 6-12 months as rice planting falls in Southeast Asia and other regions.