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Tony Schwartz Predicts Historic Midterm Backlash for Trump and Republicans

6/12/2026, 9:31:53 PM

The Public Critique: Schwartz’s Interview on MSNBC

On June 11 2024, Tony Schwartz appeared on MSNBC’s “MS NOW” with anchor Ari Melber. During the segment, Schwartz labeled President Donald J. Trump “demented” and “self-destructive,” and warned that the president’s recent statements—such as claiming he “loves” inflation—could precipitate a substantial Democratic surge in the November midterm elections. Schwartz framed Trump’s behavior as a pattern of escalating confrontations that now lacks a motivating “high,” suggesting the president is heading toward a “tortuous” second term.

Background: From “Art of the Deal” to Vocal Opponent

Schwartz co-authored the 1987 bestseller *The Art of the Deal*, which helped shape Trump’s public image as a successful businessman. In later years he expressed regret about his role in that narrative and has become a frequent critic of Trump’s political conduct. His commentary on “MS NOW” reflects a long-standing shift from collaborator to outspoken opponent.

Key Figures

  • Tony Schwartz – Former co-author of *The Art of the Deal*; founder of the consulting firm the Energy Project; primary commentator in the interview.
  • Donald J. Trump – 45th President of the United States; subject of Schwartz’s criticism.
  • Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) – Republican senator cited for warning that Trump’s decisions could damage the GOP’s electoral prospects.

Official Statements & Responses

Schwartz argued that Trump’s leadership style resembles an “addict” who repeatedly seeks validation, noting that the president’s initial political success “looked fantastic” but “seeped out incredibly quickly.” He said the president now “has to keep upping the ante and chasing the high,” a dynamic Schwartz believes is no longer sustainable.

Senator Cornyn, referenced by Melber, cautioned that Trump’s insistence on “slavish loyalty” and self-serving choices could create a “midterm disaster” for the Republican Party, describing the next two years as potentially “the most miserable two years of his life.” No official response from the White House was included in the source material.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “It's demented. I mean, it's so self-destructive,” — Tony Schwartz, Founder, the Energy Project
  • “And you pour stuff into it. And he poured it in and maxed out when he was reelected president. And it looked fantastic. But it seeped out incredibly quickly. And then he has to keep upping the ante and chasing the high. And so now where he's at is there's no high to chase. So that's just that's just a piece of self-destructiveness. He's going to go down as the worst president in the history of this country,” — Tony Schwartz
  • “And you pour stuff into it. And he poured it in and maxed out when he was reelected president. And it looked fantastic. But it seeped out incredibly quickly. And then he has to keep upping the ante and chasing the high. And so now where he's at is there's no high to chase. So that's just that's just a piece of self-destructiveness. He's going to go down as the worst president in the history of this country,” — Tony Schwartz
  • “I think people really — maybe this is my hope — are underestimating how big this [blue] wave is going to be. I think it’s going to be bigger.” — Tony Schwartz
  • “He would not step down or bow out,” — Tony Schwartz

Why It Matters: Potential Midterm Impact

Schwartz’s assessment suggests that voter dissatisfaction with inflation, foreign-policy decisions, and perceived presidential instability could translate into a larger-than-expected Democratic performance in the 2024 midterms. If the “blue wave” materializes, it may curtail Republican control of Congress, limit Trump’s legislative influence, and reshape the party’s strategic direction ahead of the 2028 presidential cycle.

What’s Next: Upcoming Elections and Political Landscape

The November 2024 midterm elections will determine control of the House and Senate. Analysts referenced by Schwartz anticipate heightened partisan polarization and intensified scrutiny of Trump’s health and policy positions. The outcomes will influence both the Republican Party’s internal dynamics and the broader legislative agenda for the remainder of the presidential term.