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Economists Warn New Grads Face Lower Earnings, AI Job Threat

6/13/2026

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Summary

Story summary

Economists warn recent U.S. college graduates face lower earnings, fewer jobs, and displacement as the post-pandemic market weakens and AI competition rises.
Lisa Kahn of the University of Rochester says cohorts will fare better only if they graduate earlier or later than the current group.
Analysts note AI threatens many entry-level knowledge jobs and that the full impact of graduating into this hiring slump may not be clear for years.

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Story summary

Economists warn recent U.S. college graduates face lower earnings, fewer jobs, and displacement as the post-pandemic market weakens and AI competition rises.
Lisa Kahn of the University of Rochester says cohorts will fare better only if they graduate earlier or later than the current group.
Analysts note AI threatens many entry-level knowledge jobs and that the full impact of graduating into this hiring slump may not be clear for years.