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Topuria vs. Gaethje Title Fight Streams on Paramount+

6/13/2026

Summary

Topuria Defends Title

Ilia Topuria defends his lightweight title against interim champion Justin Gaethje at Freedom 250 on the White House South Lawn in Washington, D.C. on Sunday.
DraftKings odds list Topuria at -520 and Gaethje at +390.
Paramount+ streams the card live from 8 p.m. ET Sunday, with subscriptions at $8.99 monthly or $89.99 yearly.
CBS Sports predicts Topuria will win by knockout in the first two rounds, entering the bout 18-0 with 15 knockouts.

Summary

McClure Forecasts UFC

McClure's UFC model runs 10,000 simulations per fight to produce win probabilities.
It adds damage accumulation and fighter-type tendencies like power punchers, grapplers, decision fighters.
Backtested on over 500 fights from 2023-25, it earned more than 18 units profit, a 6.1% ROI.
During the Paramount+ era it correctly forecast Justin Gaethje at +195 and UFC 324 over-rounds.
SportsLine now lists its top picks, including a best-bet near +500 odds for Freedom 250.

History

Historical Context

UFC 1 debuted on November 12 1993 in Denver as an eight-fighter, no-holds-barred tournament created by Art Davie and Rorion Gracie, awarding a $50,000 prize and introducing the octagon. The modest pay-per-view start later secured TV deals that normalized broadcast and betting, under UFC president Dana White, enabling today’s Paramount+ Freedom 250 headlined by Ilia Topuria (-520) and Justin Gaethje.

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Topuria Defends Title

Ilia Topuria defends his lightweight title against interim champion Justin Gaethje at Freedom 250 on the White House South Lawn in Washington, D.C. on Sunday.
DraftKings odds list Topuria at -520 and Gaethje at +390.
Paramount+ streams the card live from 8 p.m. ET Sunday, with subscriptions at $8.99 monthly or $89.99 yearly.
CBS Sports predicts Topuria will win by knockout in the first two rounds, entering the bout 18-0 with 15 knockouts.

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