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Trump’s White Non-College Backers Fall to 40% Ahead of Midterms

6/13/2026

25 5 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

President Donald Trump’s economic approval among white non-college-educated voters has sharply reversed, threatening his coalition before the 2026 midterms.
Polls show approval fell from about 70 % in 2018 to under 40 % in 2026.
CNN surveys April 30–May 4, 2026 recorded disapproval among the group ranging from 14 to over 30 points.
Strategists from both parties warn the loss of this support could shape the 2026 congressional races.

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Story summary

President Donald Trump’s economic approval among white non-college-educated voters has sharply reversed, threatening his coalition before the 2026 midterms.
Polls show approval fell from about 70 % in 2018 to under 40 % in 2026.
CNN surveys April 30–May 4, 2026 recorded disapproval among the group ranging from 14 to over 30 points.
Strategists from both parties warn the loss of this support could shape the 2026 congressional races.