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War Eats Half Budget, Recruitment Falls 20% Amid 1.2 M Casualties

6/15/2026

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Story summary
  • The war effort now consumes half of Russia’s federal budget, creating a labor shortage.
  • Recruitment fell 20% in Q1 2026 versus 2025 despite signing bonuses four times average salary.
  • Russian casualties, estimated at 1.2 million lost since 2022, exceed recruitment while forces advance only 70 meters per day and war costs total 11.1 trillion roubles (~$138 billion).
  • Levada poll shows six in ten Russians favor peace talks while analysts say mobilization would meet opposition.