Story perspectives

NOAA predicts 63% chance Super El Niño, $1.8 T US costs.

6/15/2026

Summary

Story summary

NOAA estimates a 63 % chance El Niño will become a “Super” event by January.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration confirmed El Niño conditions on June 11 2026.
Economist Justin Mankin projects U.S. costs of $1.8 trillion by 2032.
Scientists warn the El Niño may bring warmer coastal winters, milder Atlantic hurricane seasons, sea temperatures at least 1.5 °C above average, a 25 % chance of a very strong and a 50 % chance of a strong event.

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Story summary

NOAA estimates a 63 % chance El Niño will become a “Super” event by January.
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration confirmed El Niño conditions on June 11 2026.
Economist Justin Mankin projects U.S. costs of $1.8 trillion by 2032.
Scientists warn the El Niño may bring warmer coastal winters, milder Atlantic hurricane seasons, sea temperatures at least 1.5 °C above average, a 25 % chance of a very strong and a 50 % chance of a strong event.