Drooid Logo
Back to story perspectives

Full Breakdown

SpaceX Overtakes Amazon in Market Value

6/17/2026, 11:27:22 AM

SpaceX Surpasses Amazon in Market Value

Within three trading days of its Nasdaq debut on 12 June 2026, SpaceX’s market capitalisation rose to roughly $2.8 trillion, surpassing Amazon’s $2.65 trillion and making SpaceX the world’s fifth-largest public company. The share price climbed from the $135 IPO price to $209-$220, a gain of about 50-60 percent.

Background and IPO Scale

SpaceX’s IPO raised $75 billion, later increased to $85.7 billion after a greenshoe, with 20 % of shares allocated to retail investors. The proceeds support its AI subsidiary xAI, the Grok chatbot, and a $60 billion all-stock purchase of Cursor (Anysphere) announced in June.

Financial Snapshot

SpaceX reported $18.7 billion in 2025 revenue and a net loss of $4.9 billion; Amazon posted $717 billion revenue and $78 billion profit. AI-related capital spending reached $12.7 billion in 2025 and $7.7 billion in Q1 2026.

Official Statements

SpaceX said the deal will merge Cursor’s coding platform with its large-scale supercomputing resources to create highly useful AI models. Bill Ackman noted the high valuation reduces dilution for the purchase.

Criticism

Analysts warned the acquisition may not close the AI gap (Harrison Rolfes, PitchBook) and highlighted Cursor’s smaller scale (Matt Britzman, Hargreaves Lansdown). Ipek Ozkardeskaya (Swissquote) called the valuation “absolutely no sense,” and CFRA issued a sell rating citing aggressive growth and heavy capital needs.

Retail Investor Activity

Vanda Research found retail investors bought nearly as many SpaceX shares in two days as across the entire U.S. market that week, accounting for roughly three-quarters of all single-stock purchases among retail traders.

Conflicting Reports

Sources list SpaceX’s market value between $2.78 trillion and $2.97 trillion and share prices between $209 and $220, while revenue and loss figures vary from $18.67 billion to $19 billion and $4.3 billion to $5 billion, respectively.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “The combination of Cursor's leading product and distribution to expert software engineers with SpaceX's million H100 equivalent Colossus training supercomputer will allow us to build the world's most useful models.” — SpaceX, press release
  • “Owning the tool that professional developers already trust daily is a faster path to enterprise AI revenue than winning the model race,” — Harrison Rolfes, PitchBook analyst
  • “We can say with certainty that this valuation makes absolutely no sense today. People are buying SpaceX in the expectation that others will buy too and push the price higher – that’s speculation.” — Ipek Ozkardeskaya, senior market analyst, Swissquote Bank
  • “Cursor does not have the scale of OpenAI or Anthropic, but it has built some very impressive coding models relative to cost. That makes this a positive ?move for SpaceX,” — Matt Britzman, senior equity analyst, Hargreaves Lansdown

What’s Next

The acquisition is slated to close in Q3 2026. Inclusion in the Nasdaq 100, FTSE Russell and MSCI indexes should trigger passive-fund buying. Analysts will watch whether AI-driven revenue can offset losses and sustain the high market valuation.