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Andy Burnham Projected to Win Makerfield By-election, Reform Spoiled

6/17/2026

49 11 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • Andy Burnham is projected to win the Makerfield by-election, defeating Reform candidate Robert Kenyon.
  • Rebecca Shepherd of Rupert Lowe’s Restore Britain party is polling around 7 percent, which makes the seat unwinnable for Reform.
  • Nigel Farage’s supporters conceded the race two days before polling, citing the spoiler effect of Lowe’s party.
  • Nationally, Restore Britain’s support has fallen below 15 percent after never reaching the high-twenties in opinion polls.