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Ukrainian Strikes Cut Russian Output 5%, IEA Cuts Forecast 200k

6/17/2026

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Story summary
  • Ukrainian strikes on Russian oil infrastructure have doubled since early 2026, prompting the International Energy Agency to lower its 2026 crude output forecast by 200,000 barrels per day.
  • Russian crude output fell to 8.7 million barrels per day in June, 5 % below a year earlier after the attacks.
  • Russia blamed unplanned maintenance for the decline.
  • Moscow will cut June crude exports to raise refinery runs amid possible fuel shortages.