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Full Breakdown

Makerfield By-election: Labour vs Reform UK Amid Gender Tensions

6/18/2026, 2:03:00 AM

Election Snapshot

The Makerfield parliamentary by-election pits Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham (Labour) against Reform UK’s Robert Kenyon, a former plumber. Polls give Burnham a 17-point lead among women and a 2-point edge among men. Analysts attribute the gender gap to Kenyon’s earlier sexist social-media posts, which have drawn scrutiny from women voters.

Context & Main Actors

Women in the UK tend to support left-wing parties, while men lean toward right-wing or populist options. In Makerfield Labour outperformed the Conservatives among women. The race includes Reform leader Nigel Farage and Labour figures MP Lisa Nandy and chair Anna Turley, who defend women’s rights. The Green Party, with a 4 % vote share in Makerfield at the last general election, remains a minor player.

Official Statements & Responses

Labour leaders called for a united left vote, saying only Burnham can block a Reform win. Burnham pledged to give Makerfield a voice. Reform UK has not publicly responded to Kenyon’s past remarks.

Criticism & Opposition

Labour chair Anna Turley condemned Reform’s stance, warning its policies would erode maternity and workplace protections. Kenyon’s posts describing women who had abortions as “cowardly” illustrate a broader sexist outlook that fuels far-right support.

On-the-Ground Reports

At a Makerfield-recorded *Question Time*, a female audience member said she’d rather have a career politician than a sexist plumber, reflecting local support for Burnham.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “I’d rather have a career politician than a plumber who’s a sexist.” — Female audience member, *Question Time*
  • “I hope he comes back to Westminster to help us bring the issues that matter to people right up front and centre as part of this government.” — Local voter supporting Burnham

Why It Matters

Kenyon’s sexist history could mobilise women to vote Labour, raising turnout and influencing household voting. A Reform win would threaten maternity and workplace protections; a Labour victory could reinforce left-wing dominance and shape national debates on gender and populism.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

Reform UK has not publicly addressed Kenyon’s past remarks, leaving its defensive strategy unclear. Polling on likely voter turnout and household spill-over effects remains sparse.

What's Next

The Makerfield by-election is set for early July 2026. Its outcome will inform Labour’s broader strategy to consolidate left-wing voters and defend women’s rights.