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Democrats ahead for 2026 House; Alabama district reshaped

6/20/2026

Summary

Story summary

The Cook Political Report rates Democrats with a clearer path to a House majority in the 2026 midterms after shifting Republican-held districts to lean or likely Republican, narrowing Democratic gap.
Alabama’s redrawn 2nd District now excludes Mobile, with its Black population share falling from roughly 49 % to 40 %.
Recent generic-ballot polls show Democrats ahead, creating headwinds for Republican candidates because of economic concerns and President Donald Trump’s approval.

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Story summary

The Cook Political Report rates Democrats with a clearer path to a House majority in the 2026 midterms after shifting Republican-held districts to lean or likely Republican, narrowing Democratic gap.
Alabama’s redrawn 2nd District now excludes Mobile, with its Black population share falling from roughly 49 % to 40 %.
Recent generic-ballot polls show Democrats ahead, creating headwinds for Republican candidates because of economic concerns and President Donald Trump’s approval.