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Rising Iran-War Gas Hurts Paychecks, Core PCE 3.4%

6/24/2026

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Story summary
  • Workers have seen paychecks shrink as Iran-war energy prices rise, leaving gasoline $1 per gallon above pre-conflict levels, according to American Automobile Association (AAA).
  • May’s personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index excluding food and energy is set to rise 3.4%, the fastest since October 2023.
  • Credit-card use climbs, while rate hits and President Donald Trump’s tax law provides refunds and Marianne Lake of JPMorgan Chase says wage growth trails price gains.