Full Breakdown
Toy Story 5 vs. Supergirl: Box-Office Showdown
6/26/2026, 9:09:46 PM
The Weekend Face-Off
Pixar’s *Toy Story 5* enters its second weekend while Warner Bros.’s DCU entry *Supergirl* opens. Industry trackers project the Pixar sequel to earn $88 million–$96 million domestically, keeping it in the lead, whereas *Supergirl* is expected to open in the $34 million–$50 million range, likely taking the No. 2 spot.
Background & Context
*Toy Story 5* opened with a $159.6 million domestic debut—the largest opening of the year—and has already surpassed $200 million domestically. Its weekday performance set a new record for a Monday ($17.3 million) and Tuesday ($23.7 million). The film follows *Inside Out 2*, which holds the animated-film second-weekend record at $101.2 million.
*Supergirl* is the second film green-lit under DC Studios heads James Gunn and Peter Safran, following last summer’s *Superman* (which opened to $125 million domestically). The movie adapts the graphic novel by Tom King and Bilquis Evely and marks a new chapter for the DCU.
Key Figures & Groups
- Andrew Stanton – director of *Toy Story 5*
- Pixar/Disney – producers of the sequel
- Craig Gillespie – director of *Supergirl*
- Warner Bros. – distributor of *Supergirl*
- James Gunn & Peter Safran – DC Studios co-heads
- Milly Alcock – lead actress (Kara Zor-El)
- Matthias Schoenaerts, Eve Ridley, David Krumholtz, Emily Beecham, David Corenswet, Jason Momoa – supporting cast
Timeline
- June 25 2026 – *Toy Story 5* completes its opening weekend with $159.6 million.
- June 26 2026 – Monday box-office $17.3 million; Tuesday $23.7 million.
- June 27 2026 – *Supergirl* previews begin at 3 p.m. (U.S.) and 2 p.m. (international).
- June 28 2026 – Weekend box-office projections released for both titles.
Data & Statistics
- *Toy Story 5*: $159.6 million opening; >$200 million domestic total; projected $88 million–$96 million second weekend (40-45 % drop).
- *Supergirl*: $170 million production budget; 3,600 U.S. theaters (excluding Belgium and France); projected opening $34 million–$43 million (Deadline “upper $40 Ms”), optimistic ceiling $50 million+; overseas low-$40 million estimate, total global opening $80 million–$90 million.
- Rotten Tomatoes critics score for *Supergirl*: 56 %.
Why It Matters / Impact
The performance of *Toy Story 5* will determine whether the sequel joins the billion-dollar club before the end of its run, reinforcing Pixar’s dominance in family-oriented blockbusters. *Supergirl*’s opening will signal the viability of the new DCU slate after *Superman* and influence Warner Bros.’s release strategy for future DC titles.
Official Statements & Responses
- Deadline: *Supergirl* “upper $40 Ms” opening expected.
- BoxOfficeTheory: Projects *Supergirl* at $34 million–$43 million, with a possible $50 million+ ceiling.
- Andrew Stanton’s team projects *Toy Story 5* second-weekend earnings of $88 million–$96 million.
- Warner Bros. confirms a 3,600-theater rollout, with previews Thursday and a worldwide release in premium formats (IMAX, etc.).
Criticism & Opposition
Critics acknowledge Milly Alcock’s performance but describe the film as “generic” with a “bland villain.” Audience enthusiasm is reported lower than for comparable DCU releases such as *Thunderbolts* and *Wonder Woman*. Mixed reviews may dampen attendance despite the film’s strong franchise brand.
Conflicting Reports & Gaps
- Opening-weekend projections for *Supergirl* differ: Deadline cites “upper $40 Ms,” while BoxOfficeTheory offers a broader $34 million–$43 million range.
- No final box-office figures are available; all numbers remain estimates.
- Demographic data beyond “women under 25” is not provided.
What’s Next
Actual weekend grosses will confirm whether *Toy Story 5* maintains its lead and reaches the billion-dollar milestone. *Supergirl*’s performance will shape DC Studios’ rollout plan for subsequent DCU entries and inform Warner Bros.’s broader summer strategy.
