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Letlow Clinches GOP Nod; Markets See 90% GOP Senate Win

6/28/2026

45 9 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

Rep. Julia Letlow (R-LA) won the GOP nomination for the 2026 Louisiana Senate race, beating Treasurer John Fleming with 55% of the vote, a 10-point margin.
Democratic nominee Jamie Davis, a Tensas Parish farmer, won his runoff with 80% of the vote.
Polymarket gives 92% and Kalshi 90% chances of a Republican win, reflecting Louisiana’s record of no Democratic senator since 2008.

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Story summary

Rep. Julia Letlow (R-LA) won the GOP nomination for the 2026 Louisiana Senate race, beating Treasurer John Fleming with 55% of the vote, a 10-point margin.
Democratic nominee Jamie Davis, a Tensas Parish farmer, won his runoff with 80% of the vote.
Polymarket gives 92% and Kalshi 90% chances of a Republican win, reflecting Louisiana’s record of no Democratic senator since 2008.