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US Retailers Advance China Orders; PMI Up, Chip Exports Rise

6/30/2026

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Story summary
  • U.S. retailers moved Chinese orders forward four to six weeks before expected Section 301 tariff hikes.
  • China's manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) rose to 50.3 in June, returning above the 50 expansion threshold.
  • Exports of chips and AI products expanded, with the export-orders index at 50.1 and high-tech equipment PMI at 53.5.
  • Economists warned that despite PMI gains, manufacturing could slip into deflation, projecting Q2 GDP growth of about 4.6%.