Shipping Traffic Through Strait of Hormuz Rebounds After Weekend U.S.-Iran Strikes

On Monday, 40 vessels passed through the Strait of Hormuz, according to maritime-tracking firm Kpler. The figure rose from 24 ships on Sunday and 39 on Saturday, marking a noticeable increase after a weekend of tit-for-tat strikes between the United States and Iran. The surge follows a cease-fire agreement and a 60-day negotiation window that began in mid-June.

New York Times

The cease-fire was formalized on June 17 when President Donald Trump signed a 14-point memorandum of understanding with Tehran, aiming to end hostilities and open talks on Iran’s nuclear program. Negotiations are being mediated by Qatar, Pakistan and Egypt. Technical talks scheduled for Tuesday will be conducted in Qatar, with U.S. officials Vice President Vance, Middle-East envoy Steve Witkoff and senior adviser Jared Kushner speaking to Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani. The U.S. and Iranian delegations will not meet directly.

The Hill

Kpler data show that Monday’s 40 transits were roughly split between the Omani coastal route—traditionally used for west-to-east movements—and the Iranian-coastal route, which mainly serves east-to-west traffic. Energy markets responded with relative stability: West Texas Intermediate crude traded around $70-$71 per barrel, while Brent crude settled between $73 and $75 per barrel.

New York Times

The Strait of Hormuz carries approximately one-fifth of the world’s oil supply. Earlier in the conflict, Iran’s effective blockade after U.S. and Israeli attacks in late February stranded hundreds of vessels in the Persian Gulf. The rebound follows the recent lifting of the U.S. naval blockade that had previously constrained vessel movements. The recent increase in traffic reduces the risk of prolonged supply disruptions and eases pressure on global oil prices.

New York Times

Both governments publicly agreed to “stand down” for the time being, allowing commercial vessels to resume passage. U.S. and Iranian negotiators are expected to convene in Qatar to discuss technical details of a longer-term arrangement. The United States emphasized that the temporary de-escalation does not alter its broader strategic objectives in the region, while Iran reiterated its demand that ships use routes near its coastline and warned against future interference.

New York Times

The upcoming Qatari talks will focus on low-stakes operational issues, such as toll structures and navigation safety protocols. Successful resolution could solidify the cease-fire, restore fuller traffic volumes, and diminish the likelihood of further strikes. Conversely, unresolved disputes over tolls or navigation rights could prompt renewed disruptions.

The Hill