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Job Loss Cuts First-Birth Odds 1.8%, Delays Second

7/3/2026

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Story summary
  • Female partner’s job loss from a plant closure cut the couple’s chance of a first child by 1.82 percentage points.
  • Male partner’s job loss delayed the couple’s move to a second child, with the effect remaining significant after controlling for household income.
  • Researchers Rishabh Tyagi, Elisa Brini, and Daniele Vignoli produced a study using Norwegian employment and population registers (2005-2014) that appeared in Social Science Research.