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Vance Predicts AOC Leads 2028 Democratic Race

7/3/2026

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Story summary
  • Vice President JD Vance said he expects Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to lead 2028 Democratic presidential field, noted her hope he becomes Republican nominee, and will decide his run after the November 3, 2026 midterm elections.
  • Prediction-market Polymarket gives Governor Gavin Newsom a 20.4 % chance and Ocasio-Cortez an 11.5 % chance for Democratic nomination.
  • A June McLaughlin poll shows former Vice President Kamala Harris at 26 % and Ocasio-Cortez at 9 % in primary preferences.