Full Breakdown
State-by-State Snapshot of President Donald Trump’s Approval Ratings Amid Midterm Election Outlook
7/5/2026, 12:44:35 AM
National Overview and State-Level Disparities
A Civiqs rolling online poll of 114,500 registered voters since Jan. 20, 2025 shows President Donald Trump at 37 % approval and 58 % disapproval nationally (net –21). State data reveal a stark partisan map: Wyoming leads with a +24 net rating (59 % approve), while Vermont trails at –58 (19 % approve). All seven battleground states Trump won in 2024 remain underwater, with net ratings ranging from –12 in Arizona and Florida to –24 in Nevada.
Context: Second Term and Upcoming Independence Day Address
President Trump is set to deliver a speech on the National Mall for the nation’s 250th anniversary on July 4. The approval map was released as part of coverage of that event, highlighting the political climate of his second term.
Demographic Breakdown of Support and Disapproval
Republicans overwhelmingly approve, while Democrats overwhelmingly disapprove; independents show 30 % approval versus 62 % disapproval. Among age groups, 24 % of voters 18-34 approve versus 46 % of those 65 and older. Racially, 44 % of white voters approve compared with 8 % of Black voters. Educationally, 25 % of post-graduates approve, while 40 % of non-college graduates do.
Implications for the 2026 Midterm Elections
The low approval in former swing states could hinder Republican congressional prospects in the November 2026 midterms, potentially allowing Democrats to gain House and Senate seats. Even modest shifts in voter sentiment may prove decisive in tight districts.
Official White House Response
White House spokesman Davis Ingle dismissed the poll’s low numbers, citing the 2024 election as a clear mandate. He said the 80 million voters who elected Trump give him authority to pursue his agenda and noted the president’s historic progress domestically and abroad.
Criticism and Opposition
Analysts highlight the demographic data as evidence of broad disapproval, noting that Democrats, independents, younger voters, Black Americans, and highly educated voters overwhelmingly reject the president’s performance, a trend critics say could translate into electoral setbacks for Republicans.
Verbatim Quotes
- “has already made historic progress not only in America but around the world. It is not surprising that President Trump remains the most dominant figure in American politics,” — Davis Ingle, White House spokesman
What’s Next
The November 2026 midterm elections will test whether July’s approval trends persist. Ongoing polling through the campaign will track voter sentiment ahead of the congressional contests.
