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Former Treasury Adviser Nicholas Stern Calls for Ed Miliband as Chancellor in Potential Burnham Administration

7/5/2026, 8:34:41 PM

Stern’s Direct Appeal to Andy Burnham

Former chief economic adviser to the Treasury, Sir Nicholas Stern, urged prospective Prime Minister Andy Burnham to appoint Energy Secretary Ed Miliband as Chancellor of the Exchequer. Stern argued that Miliband’s experience in the Treasury and his “competent and strategic” approach are essential for directing the UK’s £1.4 trillion annual public-spending programme toward clean, efficient infrastructure and a net-zero transition.

Political Context and Possible Cabinet Line-up

Burnham, the Labour leader of Greater Manchester, is expected to form a government in July 2026. Labour’s current Chancellor, Rachel Reeves, is likely to be replaced. In addition to Miliband, Health Secretary Wes Streeting and Home Secretary Shabana Mahmood have been cited as alternative candidates. Deputy Leader Lucy Powell publicly described Miliband as “a good chancellor,” reinforcing intra-party support for the suggestion.

Principal Actors

  • Sir Nicholas Stern – Professor of Economics at LSE, former senior Treasury official under Gordon Brown and former chief economist at the World Bank.
  • Ed Miliband – Labour Energy Secretary, former Treasury adviser, and long-time participant in international climate negotiations.
  • Andy Burnham – Prospective Prime Minister, awaiting a Treasury appointment.
  • Josh Ryan-Collins – Professor of Economics and Finance at UCL, defending Miliband’s green-investment stance.

Fiscal Scale and Investment Proposals

Stern highlighted that achieving Miliband’s vision would require “an increase in spending of two or three percentage points of national income.” With the UK’s public-spending envelope at £1.4 trillion, this translates to an additional £28-£42 billion annually directed toward modern energy, transport and urban infrastructure. Stern also noted that the UK’s contribution to global emissions is “0.8 %,” emphasizing the symbolic weight of its climate policy.

Official Statements & Responses

Stern emphasized Miliband’s capacity to “explain why it should involve an increase in spending of two or three percentage points of national income,” linking fiscal expansion to private-sector growth and human-capital development. He defended the government’s moratorium on new North Sea drilling licences, arguing that continued investment in ageing fossil-fuel assets would distract from “technologies of the 21st century.”

Lucy Powell’s brief endorsement framed Miliband as a “good chancellor,” while Ryan-Collins warned that criticism of Miliband’s net-zero stance “misses the bigger issue” of Treasury willingness to fund transition support for workers and regions.

Criticism & Opposition

Some commentators have portrayed Miliband’s net-zero commitments as a “costly mistake,” suggesting that ambitious climate policy could strain public finances. Ryan-Collins countered this view, stating that the core problem is “the absence of willingness from the Treasury to mobilise resources to support affected workers and regions,” not the climate agenda itself.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “I think of him as competent and strategic. I would also say bold, though I am not using the language of Yes, Minister,” — Nicholas Stern, Professor, LSE
  • “I mean bold in the sense that we have to have a clear direction showing where investments need to occur and the ability to explain why it should involve an increase in spending of two or three percentage points of national income.” — Nicholas Stern
  • “Investing in North Sea oil is not a strategy for the technologies of the 21st century. The key is that we have got to invest in people and places as old industries wane,” — Nicholas Stern
  • “The problem is not ambitious climate policy per se, but the absence of willingness from the Treasury to mobilise resources to support affected workers and regions,” — Josh Ryan-Collins, Professor, UCL
  • “He added that Miliband as chancellor would make the case for green investment as “the only way to stabilise the UK economy in the long term and create the decent, well-paid jobs that the poorer regions of the country desperately need”.” — Josh Ryan-Collins

What’s Next

Burnham’s cabinet selections are expected within weeks. If Miliband is appointed Chancellor, the Treasury would need to outline a concrete plan for the proposed 2-3 % increase in spending, detail the transition framework for North Sea-dependent communities, and coordinate with the Treasury to secure legislative backing for expanded green investment.