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S&P CAPE Hits 41, AI Hype Sparks Crash Warning

7/7/2026

41 5 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • S&P 500 CAPE ratio rose to 41, far above the 17.3 average and the 32.5 level on Black Tuesday.
  • Russ Mould says AI hype drives the valuation, that the 41 ratio exceeds the pre-1929 crash level, and warns a correction could produce a decade like the 1930s.
  • He likens the AI frenzy to the 1990s internet boom and the 1920s electrification hype, both of which ended in busts.