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Farage Resigns, Runs By-Election; 90% Win Odds

7/8/2026

41 9 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • Nigel Farage announced he will resign as Member of Parliament for Clacton-on-Sea and will contest the resulting by-election.
  • Ladbrokes priced Farage at 1/9, implying a 90 % chance of victory.
  • Star Sports priced the Conservatives at 5/1, making them the nearest challengers.
  • The market set Farage’s chance of being replaced as Reform Party leader at 7/4, with Zia Yusuf at 5/2 as the favourite to succeed him.