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Burnham Faces £15.5bn Triple-Lock Crisis, Pensions to 9% GDP

7/10/2026

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Story summary
  • Prime Minister-designate Andy Burnham will inherit pressure to scrap the pension triple lock.
  • The Office for Budget Responsibility says keeping the triple lock will cost GBP 15.5 billion by 2029-2030, a level that DeVere Group CEO Nigel Green calls fiscally unsustainable and likely to force reforms.
  • The OBR projects pension spending could rise from about 5 % of GDP now to 9 % by the 2070s, risking debt of three times the UK economy.