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Scientists Warn 63% Chance Super El Niño 2026-27

7/10/2026

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Story summary
  • Scientists confirm El Niño has developed and assign it a 63% chance of becoming a Super El Niño between November 2026 and January 2027, affecting South America.
  • Forecasters warn El Niño could add up to 0.25 °C to global temperatures, intensifying heat waves worldwide.
  • In the Caribbean, El Niño has caused drought, water rationing and heat indexes up to 43 °C, raising disease risk.
  • Chile lacks a robust El Niño monitoring and early-warning system, officials say.