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U.S.–Iran Airstrikes Trigger Oil Price Swings and Market Turbulence

7/13/2026, 8:43:11 AM

Core Event

In early July, the United States launched a series of airstrikes against Iran in retaliation for an Iranian attack that set a container ship ablaze in the Strait of Hormuz. Iran responded with strikes across the Middle East. The conflict reignited concerns that oil tankers could be barred from the strategic strait, prompting immediate moves in global energy markets.

Market Reaction and Data

Brent crude rose 3.9% to $78.96 per barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate climbed 4% to $74.26, reversing earlier declines that had brought prices back to pre-conflict levels. By week’s end, Brent eased 0.9% to $75.58, still well above the week-start price of $72 but far below the wartime peak near $120.

U.S. equity futures slipped, with the S&P 500 futures down 0.4% and the Dow futures down 0.3%; the Nasdaq composite fell 1%. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 dropped 1.1%, the Kospi fell 5.6%, and the Shanghai Composite shed 1.2%.

Technology-focused stocks surged: SK Hynix’s ADR debut raised roughly $26.5 billion, sending its Seoul-listed shares up more than 600% over the past year, while Nvidia lifted the S&P 500 with a 4% gain.

Official Statements & Responses

President Donald Trump announced on his social-media platform that the United States had told Iran “in no uncertain terms, that the Cease Fire is OVER!” and that talks would continue. Circle Internet Group’s CEO Jeremy Allaire highlighted regulatory progress, noting the approval of a U.S. bank for its stablecoin USDC.

Criticism & Opposition

Analysts warned that AI-driven stock rallies may be unsustainable, questioning whether global spending on chips and data centers can generate sufficient productivity to justify current valuations. High bond yields, driven by worries over expensive oil and inflation, have pressured markets and could prompt further rate hikes by the Federal Reserve and other central banks.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “SK Hynix's stock in Seoul has already surged 634% over the last year thanks to euphoria around artificial intelligence technology.” — WRAL report
  • “Delta Air Lines said it was able to absorb higher fuel prices from April through June because of strong demand from customers to fly, including a wide range of corporate travelers.” — Delta Air Lines statement
  • “marks a defining step in bringing blockchain technology and digital assets into the core of the U.S. financial system.” — Jeremy Allaire, CEO, Circle Internet Group