Full Breakdown
Yashar Party Leads Likud in New Kan News Poll
7/13/2026, 11:19:54 AM
Core Findings of the July 12 Survey
A Kan News poll conducted by the Kantar Institute on July 12, 2026 shows Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party projected to win 24 seats in the upcoming Knesset election, overtaking Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud, which is projected at 23 seats. The poll surveyed 551 eligible voters (out of 2,359 invited) and carries a margin of error of 4.2%.
Projected Seat Distribution
- Yashar (Gadi Eisenkot) – 24 seats
- Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu) – 23 seats
- Together (Naftali Bennett) – 15 seats (down one seat)
- Yisrael Beiteinu – 10 seats (up one seat)
- Otzma Yehudit (Itamar Ben-Gvir) – 8 seats (down one)
- Shas – 8 seats (no change)
- United Torah Judaism – 8 seats (no change)
- Democrats – 9 seats (no change)
- Religious Zionism – 5 seats (no change)
- Hadash-Ta’al – 5 seats (down one)
- Ra’am (United Arab List) – 5 seats (up one)
- Other parties – remaining seats distributed among smaller factions.
The poll also estimates Netanyahu’s bloc at 52 seats, while the opposition bloc totals 68 seats, rising to 58 seats if party leaders continue to refuse cooperation with Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am.
Voter Priorities Shaping the Contest
When asked which issue would most influence their vote, respondents cited:
- Security – 25%
- Establishing an investigative committee for the October 7 massacre – 24%
- Economy and cost of living – 22%
- Judicial reform – 12%
These concerns suggest that security and accountability for the October 7 events remain top drivers for the electorate, with economic pressures and judicial reforms also playing significant roles.
Implications for Government Formation
The projected opposition majority indicates a potential shift in coalition dynamics, challenging Netanyahu’s ability to form a governing bloc without securing additional partners. The refusal of certain Arab parties to sit with Hadash-Ta’al and Ra’am further complicates coalition arithmetic, underscoring the fragmented nature of Israeli parliamentary politics as reflected in the latest polling data.
