Full Breakdown
Young People in Eastern Europe and Central Asia Want Families but Face Economic Barriers
7/13/2026, 9:51:15 PM
Survey Findings on Aspirations and Gaps
A UNFPA-commissioned Demographic Futures Survey released on July 9, 2026 examined family and fertility aspirations among 13,500 internet-connected respondents aged 18-39 in Azerbaijan, Bosnia and Herzegovina, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, North Macedonia, Serbia, Ukraine, Uzbekistan and Kosovo. Across the region, 79 % said they want to marry and 87 % cited joy and happiness as a primary reason for having children. Most respondents expressed a desire for two or more children, with ideal family sizes ranging from 2.6 children for women and 2.9 for men in low-fertility countries to 3.7 in high-fertility Central Asian states.
Despite this optimism— 65 % feel positive about their future, compared with 50 % in Western Europe and East Asia—there is a pronounced “fertility gap.” Women’s actual births fall short of their ideal by 1.25 children; men’s shortfall is nearly 2 children. Ukraine shows the widest disparity, with women aspiring to 3 children but averaging just over 1.
Economic and Structural Barriers
The survey identified financial insecurity as the chief obstacle to starting a family. Additional barriers include a lack of affordable housing, health problems, difficulty finding a suitable partner, and concerns about unequal division of childcare and household duties. Respondents view family formation as a sequence of milestones—stable employment, independent housing, partnership—any delay in which postpones childbearing.
UNFPA’s Official Response
Florence Bauer, UNFPA Regional Director for Eastern Europe and Central Asia, urged governments to shift from incentive-based policies toward measures that remove the underlying barriers. She emphasized that “policies trying to influence young people’s decisions about having children through incentives or pressure don’t work – they intervene at the wrong stage.”
Verbatim Quotes
- “The survey findings are a call to governments to listen to young people, understand the barriers they are facing, and develop policies that support them in realizing their family and fertility aspirations,” — Florence Bauer, UNFPA Regional Director
- “What we need instead is policies that remove the barriers leading up to this decision – in employment, housing, health and gender roles in the family.” — Florence Bauer, UNFPA Regional Director
