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Super El Niño Likely to 2027, Boosting Flood Risks

7/13/2026

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Story summary
  • The Climate Prediction Center gives a 97% chance the 2024-25 El Niño will last into spring 2027 and an 81% chance it will be very strong.
  • A super El Niño will cause warmer, drier winters in the northern U.S. and Ohio Valley, wetter winters in the south, and raise high-tide flooding risk on the West Coast.
  • Past very strong El Niños doubled downtown Los Angeles’s annual rainfall, triggering flash floods and landslides.