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Full Breakdown

NBA Probes Milwaukee Bucks’ $64 Million Gary Trent Jr. Deal for Possible Cap Circumvention

7/16/2026, 10:29:41 PM

Core Event

On July 16, 2026 the Milwaukee Bucks announced a fully guaranteed four-year, $64 million contract for guard Gary Trent Jr. The NBA confirmed that a league spokesperson is “looking into” the agreement for potential violation of the Collective Bargaining Agreement’s anti-circumvention rules. The investigation centers on whether the Bucks used Trent’s Early Bird rights to pay him well above his market value after two low-salary contracts.

Background & Context

Trent, 27, joined Milwaukee for the 2024-25 season on a veteran-minimum deal ($2.6 million) and later signed a two-year, $7.5 million contract that included a 20 % Non-Bird raise for 2025-26 ($3.7 million). By accruing two consecutive seasons with the Bucks, the team obtained Early Bird rights, which allow a player to receive up to 175 % of the prior salary or 105 % of the league-average salary, whichever is higher.

The NBA’s 2023 Collective Bargaining Agreement tightened financial flexibility, making long-term, high-value contracts rarer. Critics note a parallel to the 2000 Minnesota Timberwolves case in which Joe Smith signed three minimum contracts to build Bird rights before receiving an $86 million extension, a violation that cost the Timberwolves multiple first-round picks.

Data & Statistics

  • Contract: 4 years, $64 million fully guaranteed (average $16 million per season).
  • Early Bird cap: $4 million below the maximum allowable under Early Bird rights.
  • 2025-26 performance: 8.1 points per game, 38.7 % field-goal shooting, 36 % three-point shooting, 21.2 minutes per game, 1.2 assists, 1.0 rebounds, 0.5 steals.
  • Prior salaries: $2.6 million (2024-25), $3.7 million (2025-26).

Official Statements & Responses

A league spokesperson told ESPN’s Shams Charania that the NBA “will look into” the contract for possible circumvention. The Bucks’ public relations office responded, “We are aware of the league’s inquiry and have no further comment at this time.” The Collective Bargaining Agreement’s Article 13 allows the league to deem a contract circumvention “if the only rational explanation for the deal is a violation of Section 2(a).”

Criticism & Opposition

Analysts and reporters have highlighted the disparity between Trent’s on-court production and the size of the deal. The Athletic’s Sam Vecenie called for a clear league review, while colleague Mike Vorkunov described the contract as “hard to explain in rational terms.” NBA salary-cap expert Nate Duncan argued the deal “falls under the provision that there is no possible explanation other than circumvention.” ESPN’s Tim MacMahon bluntly said the contract “smells awful.” Grant Afseth, writing for Heavy.com, labeled the timeline “highly suspicious.”

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

No concrete evidence of a pre-season “handshake” agreement has been presented. Sources note that front-office executives expected a raise for Trent, but the NBA has not disclosed any written documentation linking the Bucks and Trent to a prior arrangement. The investigation’s timeline remains unclear; a separate cap-circumvention probe involving Kawhi Leonard lasted ten months, with Commissioner Adam Silver indicating a verdict “this summer,” suggesting a comparable duration may apply here.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “The NBA should pretty clearly look into this contract in regard to salary-cap circumvention,” — Sam Vecenie, The Athletic
  • “I cannot remember a player agreeing to sign for the minimum one year, having his worst season in seven years where he was a below-average player by any standard, and then receiving five times as much money in free agency the following year.” — Mike Vorkunov, The Athletic
  • “would fall under the provision that there is no possible explanation other than circumvention.” — Nate Duncan, NBA salary-cap expert
  • “It smells awful,” — Tim MacMahon, ESPN
  • “timeline of joining the Milwaukee Bucks on a minimum and two years later getting a four-year, $64M fully guaranteed deal is highly suspicious to say the least.” — Grant Afseth, Heavy.com

What’s Next

The NBA’s investigation is ongoing, with no public deadline announced. Past league probes have resulted in penalties ranging from fines to loss of draft picks, and the league may consider similar sanctions if it determines a violation occurred.