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Democrats Lead, 226-209 House Majority, 50-50 Senate

7/19/2026

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Story summary
  • The Washington Post-Ipsos poll says Democrats lead because of a voter-enthusiasm gap.
  • Among voters certain to vote, 53% lean Democratic to 45% Republican, making Democrats 10 points more likely than Republicans to say they will vote.
  • Decision Desk HQ projects a 226-209 Democratic House majority and a 50-50 Senate split.
  • 54% of respondents name economic and job concerns as the top issue.