Back to today’s briefing

Story perspectives

NHC Ups Development Odds to 60%, Forecasts Flood-Risk Florida-Alabama Track

7/19/2026

27 3 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

The National Hurricane Center raised the tropical development chance to 60% and sent an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane to the Gulf disturbance.
Model ensembles predict a northward track toward the Florida Panhandle and southern Alabama, where heavy showers could cause localized flash flooding in low-lying urban areas.
The National Hurricane Center will issue regular updates and release the next tropical weather outlook at 8 a.m.

1 of 1

Story summary

The National Hurricane Center raised the tropical development chance to 60% and sent an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter plane to the Gulf disturbance.
Model ensembles predict a northward track toward the Florida Panhandle and southern Alabama, where heavy showers could cause localized flash flooding in low-lying urban areas.
The National Hurricane Center will issue regular updates and release the next tropical weather outlook at 8 a.m.