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Mexico GDP Forecast 1.1% 2026, Rate Stays 6.5%

7/21/2026

23 5 Full Breakdown

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Story summary
  • Mexico's GDP is forecast at 1.1% in 2026 and 1.8% in 2027, slower than earlier estimates.
  • Growth follows a 0.5% expansion in 2025 after the U.S. rejected a 16-year USMCA extension for a 10-year term.
  • A poll projects inflation at 4.0% in 2026 and 3.8% in 2027, while the central bank will keep its benchmark rate at 6.50% through next year.