Story perspectives
Rising Inflation Squeezes 60/40 Portfolios, Commodities Shine
7/22/2026
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Story summary
- United States investors confront heightened inflation risk that can depress both equities and bonds in a traditional 60/40 portfolio.
- Central banks respond to accelerating inflation by tightening financial conditions, which raises the cost of capital.
- Commodities have historically protected against inflation, gaining in roughly 70% of years when U.S. consumer price inflation accelerated.
- A weaker U.S. dollar can boost commodity values because most commodities are priced in dollars.
- U.S. gasoline prices suffered a second geopolitically driven shock in the past five years, raising concerns about energy supply fragility.
- Energy spikes tax households and squeeze corporate earnings.
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