Full Breakdown
Yashar! Party Leads Latest Israeli Election Polls
7/23/2026, 8:04:17 PM
Core Poll Findings
A recent Channel 12 poll conducted by the Midgam Institute and iPanel asked respondents which party they would vote for if elections were held today. The poll found that Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar! party would win 24 seats, making it the largest faction in the 120-member Knesset. Eisenkot was also preferred for prime minister by 43% of respondents, ahead of incumbent Benjamin Netanyahu at 37%. A separate online and telephone survey by the Zman Yisrael site reported Yashar! at 25 seats, expanding its lead over Likud to four seats, with Likud projected at 21 seats.
Coalition Landscape
Both surveys show Yashar! would still be short of the 61-seat majority needed to govern. Opposition voters favor a coalition that includes one of the two Arab-majority parties, which together hold about 10-11 seats; without such support neither the opposition bloc (59 seats) nor the current coalition bloc (51 seats) reaches a majority.
Party Shifts & Security Context
The Zman poll notes a ten-seat drop for Likud since the February 28 start of the Iran war, falling from 31 to 21 seats. Naftali Bennett’s Together Party sits at 13 seats, while Yisrael Baytenu and the Democrats each hold 10 seats. Smaller parties led by former ministers Chili Tropper, Yoaz Hendel, and Benny Gantz failed to cross the electoral threshold. Netanyahu’s appearance at the Negev Conference in Dimona on July 17, 2026, reflects the government’s focus on security amid the ongoing conflict.
Implications
Analysts say the need for Arab-party support could force the opposition bloc to negotiate a broader coalition, while Likud’s decline may limit Netanyahu’s options for forming a stable government without new partners.
