Full Breakdown
UPS Completes Amazon Volume Reduction, Raises 2026 Outlook
7/29/2026, 11:09:47 AM
Core Event: Q2 2026 Earnings and Completion of the Amazon Glide-Down
On July 28, United Parcel Service (UPS) reported second-quarter 2026 consolidated revenue of $22.8 billion, a 7.6 % year-over-year increase, and adjusted earnings of $1.76 per share, beating expectations. The company announced that its 18-month plan to shed lower-margin Amazon shipments—known as the “glide-down”—is complete. Amazon now accounts for roughly 9 % of UPS revenue, down from a pandemic peak above 13 %. UPS raised its full-year revenue guidance to $91.2 billion and its adjusted EPS outlook to $7.22.
Background & Context
UPS began trimming Amazon-related volume in early 2024, targeting a reduction of more than half by mid-2026. The move was meant to replace “extraordinarily dilutive” e-commerce parcels with higher-margin services such as healthcare logistics, international freight, and SMB packages. The effort involved facility closures, job cuts, and expanded automation and RFID tracking.
Data & Statistics
- Revenue & Profitability: $22.8 billion revenue; adjusted operating profit $2.10 billion; operating margin 9.2 % (up 100 bps YoY).
- Amazon Volume: About 2 million packages per day removed; Amazon share of revenue now 9 % (down ~100 bps).
- Package Volume: U.S. daily volume fell 3.3 % YoY to 16 million packages; SMB volume rose 4.3 % YoY to 34.5 % of U.S. volume.
- Pricing: Revenue per piece increased 9.3 % domestically and 18.9 % internationally.
- Automation: 68.5 % of U.S. volume processed in automated facilities, cutting cost per piece by roughly 28 % versus non-automated hubs.
- Healthcare: Over $3 billion in healthcare logistics revenue for the quarter.
Why It Matters / Impact
Shifting away from low-margin Amazon parcels positions UPS to capture higher-value segments, especially temperature-controlled healthcare shipments and SMB e-commerce. RFID and AI-driven visibility are being marketed as sticky services that can reduce churn, illustrated by a high-end jeweler’s recent switch to UPS after RFID deployment.
Conflicting Reports & Gaps
Analyst EPS forecasts vary modestly: Reuters cited a consensus of $7.11 per share, while Bloomberg referenced $7.22. No other substantive discrepancies were identified.
Verbatim Quotes
- “Our second-quarter results marked an expected and significant shift in our performance,” — CEO Carol Tomé
What’s Next
UPS expects domestic revenue to be flat in the third quarter, with average daily volume projected to decline in the mid-single-digit range. The company reaffirmed its 2026 capital-expenditure target of roughly $3 billion and its dividend plan of about $5.4 billion, subject to board approval. Expansion of RFID coverage and the Digital Access Program, which generated $1.4 billion in quarterly revenue, will support growth in SMB and healthcare segments through the remainder of the year.
