Trump’s Approval Rating Hits Career Low Amid Ongoing Iran Conflict

The Economist/YouGov poll conducted July 25-27 surveyed 1,559 U.S. adults online and found 34 % approve of President Donald Trump’s performance, while 62 % disapprove. The margin of error is ±3.3 percentage points. This is the lowest approval Trump has recorded with this pollster since returning to office.

Newsweek

Trump’s standing has eroded since the spring, driven by an unpopular war with Iran, inflation concerns, and rising gasoline prices. The conflict began in February after Iranian attacks on the United Arab Emirates followed Trump’s announcement of “Project Freedom,” a U.S. effort to protect commercial shipping in the Strait of Hormuz. Approval fell to 41.6 % on Feb 26, two days before the killing of Iranian Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in joint U.S.–Israeli strikes.

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A brief rebound in late May lifted approval to 43.3 %, and it rose to 43 % on June 16 after a preliminary cease-fire framework. The cease-fire collapsed in late July, and gasoline prices surged to $4.10 per gallon (AAA), contributing to renewed disapproval.

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• Economist/YouGov (July 25-27): 34 % approve, 62 % disapprove.

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• Washington Post/Ipsos (mid-July): 37 % approve, 61 % disapprove.

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• CBS News/YouGov (July 21-24): 39 % approve, 61 % disapprove.

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• Pew Research Center (July 6-12): 34 % approve, 64 % disapprove.

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Cross-tabulation shows deep partisan divides: +64 net approval among Republicans, -92 among Democrats, and -53 among independents. Education splits show a -25 net among non-college voters and -35 among college graduates. Racial breakdowns reveal net approvals of -18 (white), -34 (Hispanic), and -62 (Black). Issue-specific disapproval exceeds approval on foreign policy (32 % approve, 60 % disapprove), health care (31 % approve, 59 % disapprove), and Iran-war spending (30 % approve, 60 % disapprove).

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Presidential approval below 40 % historically precedes challenging midterm cycles for the incumbent party. Analysts note that independents—who have swung toward Republicans in 2024—are now well below the 40 % “floor” considered necessary to shield the party from a wave.

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Ingle emphasized ongoing policy achievements in jobs, inflation, and housing affordability, framing the poll dip as a temporary fluctuation.

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Poll results vary modestly: the Economist/YouGov and Pew surveys both report 34 % approval, while the Washington Post/Ipsos and CBS News/YouGov polls show slightly higher figures (37 % and 39 %). No source provides a post-July 13 consumer-sentiment update, leaving uncertainty about how recent gas-price spikes will affect the next reading.

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• “No other President in history has accomplished more for the American people than President Trump, who is working tirelessly to create jobs, cool inflation, increase housing affordability, and more.” — Davis Ingle, White House spokesman

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• “Affordability is affordability, and voters get frequent reminders of how affordable things are or are not, gas, food, electricity bill, etc.,” — Alex Patton, Republican strategist

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