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US Tariff Revival Projects $1T Revenue, Court Orders $100B Refunds

8/1/2026

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Story summary
  • The United States revived tariffs after a setback, projecting nearly $1 trillion in added revenue over the next decade.
  • The Supreme Court ordered up to $100 billion in refunds in February 2026 after $189 billion in tariff revenue was collected from October 2025 to May 2026.
  • Effective tariff rates climbed to about 11-12% as import prices rose 7.1% between June 2025 and June 2026, with China-origin goods up 0.9%—the biggest jump since January 2008.