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NOAA predicts Super El Niño; Farmers’ Almanac rescued.

8/8/2026

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NOAA Predicts El Niño
  • NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center sees an 81% chance of a strong El Niño and near-100% chance of a “Super El Niño” by spring 2027.
  • The Almanac warns the El Niño may bring drier winter and forecasts periods for Chicago and Great Lakes, citing a 97% chance it will persist spring 2027.
  • A 2010 University of Illinois study found the Almanac’s winter forecasts are about 52% accurate, while the Almanac claims roughly 80% accuracy.
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