Trump’s Approval Rating Hits Record Lows Amid Midterm Stakes

Recent surveys show President Donald Trump’s job approval in the low-30 percent range, with disapproval above 55 percent. A Reuters/Ipsos poll (July 29-Aug 3) recorded 35 percent approval, down from 37 percent the prior month. Quinnipiac (July 23-27) found 32 percent approval and 58 percent disapproval. An AP-NORC poll for the same period reported 33 percent approval and 66 percent disapproval. The Economist’s YouGov tracker (Aug 4) listed 35 percent approval and 60 percent disapproval, a net rating of –25.

USA Today

Trump entered his second term amid a volatile international environment, including the U.S.–Israel strike on Iran in mid-July. Disapproval rose sharply after that conflict and after the passage of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act and a 76-day partial government shutdown. Economic concerns—inflation, gas prices, and cost-of-living pressures—have further eroded support.

Newsweek

• Reuters/Ipsos (July 29-Aug 3): 35 % approval, 61 % disapproval.

Montgomery Advertiser

• Quinnipiac (July 23-27): 32 % approval, 58 % disapproval.

Newsweek

• AP-NORC (July 23-27): 33 % approval, 66 % disapproval.

Montgomery Advertiser

• Economist/YouGov (Aug 4): 35 % approval, 60 % disapproval, net –25.

USA Today

President Trump argues the dip reflects voter frustration with congressional Republicans rather than personal dissatisfaction. He told Punchbowl News that “a lot of them are very angry at Republicans, to be honest with you,” and said he cannot predict whether his base will turn out without him on the ballot.

Newsweek

• “They're not angry at me. But they are angry at Republicans,” — Donald Trump

Newsweek

• “The question is...if I don't run, will those people go out and vote? And that's the one thing I can't tell you.” — Donald Trump

Newsweek

The polling landscape shows inconsistencies. Quinnipiac and AP-NORC place approval near 32-33 percent, while the Reuters/Ipsos poll shows a decline from 37 percent to 35 percent within a week. No poll provides a detailed demographic or regional breakdown, leaving gaps in understanding how specific voter groups influence the overall picture.

Newsweek

The November 3 midterms will test whether Republican candidates can maintain narrow majorities in the House and Senate without Trump on the ballot. Analysts note the party of a sitting president typically loses seats, and Democrats are projecting advantages on generic congressional ballots. Trump’s uncertainty about voter turnout underscores the strategic importance of his endorsement as the party navigates a potentially hostile electoral environment.

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