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CUSMA Collapse Could Cut 316,000 Jobs, Trillions in GDP

8/12/2026

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Story summary
  • Oxford Economics says a CUSMA collapse could cut 214,000 U.S. and 102,000 Canadian jobs by 2035.
  • The collapse would shave $1.04 trillion from U.S. GDP and $271 billion Cdn from Canadian GDP by 2035.
  • 50 percent tariffs effective August 19 would hit central-Canada manufacturers—especially cement, concrete and paper producers—hardest.
  • Dominic LeBlanc and Jamieson Greer met June 2, 2026, to seek a deal before the tariff deadline.