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Cristobal Forecast to Dissipate by Thursday Night or Friday

8/13/2026

45 9 Full Breakdown

Summary

Cristobal Dissipates

The U.S. National Hurricane Center forecast that Tropical Storm Cristobal will dissipate by Thursday night or Friday morning.
Cristobal formed on Wednesday over the central subtropical Atlantic as Invest 93L with 45 mph winds.
At 5 p.m. ET on August 12, the storm was about 880 miles west of the Azores and moving eastward at 20–25 mph.
No watches or warnings were issued, with tropical-storm-force winds extending up to 80 miles from the center.

Summary

NOAA Raises Outlook

NOAA updated its outlook on Aug 6, raising the chance of a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season to 75 %.
Strong El Niño wind shear, expected to persist, is suppressing storms while Colorado State University hurricane expert Phil Klotzbach warns it could become a “Super El Niño.”
The National Hurricane Center is testing a forecast cone covering 90 % of tracks, with its outlook map using orange for medium, red for high, and a gray “X”.

History

Historical Context

During the record-strength 2014-16 El Niño, NOAA’s June 6 2015 forecast gave a 75 % chance of a below-normal Atlantic hurricane season, which materialized as the 2015 season’s 12 cyclones and an ACE only 68 % of the long-term median. Today, as Tropical Storm Cristobal forms, NOAA repeats a 75 % below-normal outlook, a pattern highlighted by CSU forecaster Phil Klotzbach.

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Cristobal Dissipates

The U.S. National Hurricane Center forecast that Tropical Storm Cristobal will dissipate by Thursday night or Friday morning.
Cristobal formed on Wednesday over the central subtropical Atlantic as Invest 93L with 45 mph winds.
At 5 p.m. ET on August 12, the storm was about 880 miles west of the Azores and moving eastward at 20–25 mph.
No watches or warnings were issued, with tropical-storm-force winds extending up to 80 miles from the center.

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