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Full Breakdown

Wes Moore Holds Commanding Lead in Maryland Gubernatorial Poll

8/13/2026, 9:24:40 PM

Poll Findings and Core Numbers

The Maryland Now poll of 800 likely general-election voters, conducted July 27 – early August 2026 by Zenith Research, shows Governor Wes Moore ahead of Republican challenger former Delegate Dan Cox by 27 points (58% vs 31%). Moore’s job-approval rating stands at 56% with 39% disapproving, a net +17. The survey carries a margin of error of ±3.5%.

Background and Recent Performance

Moore previously defeated Cox in the 2022 gubernatorial contest by 33 points. Since taking office, Democratic Party Chairman Steuart Pittman highlights several metrics: “Since taking office Maryland has created 60,000 new businesses, homicides have fallen 44%, and nearly every single grade has made improvements in reading and math scores.” “Since taking office Maryland has created 60,000 new businesses, homicides have fallen 44%, and nearly every single grade has made improvements in reading and math scores,” — Steuart Pittman, democratic party chairman

Data & Statistics

  • Business creation: 60,000 new firms since 2023.
  • Public safety: Homicides down 44% since Moore assumed office.
  • Education: Grade-level reading and math scores improved in nearly every district.
  • Policy preferences: 56% support building more nuclear plants; 56% favor keeping natural-gas plants operating longer.
  • Other issues: 79% back allowing beer and wine sales in grocery stores; 58% endorse public-private partnerships for structurally deficient bridges; 42% say high electric bills are a top concern.

Official Statements & Responses

Adam Carlson, founding partner of Zenith Research, said the poll indicates Moore is on a “glide path to re-election,” noting the governor leads across gender, age, race/ethnicity, income, and geographic groups.

Why It Matters

The sizable lead and rising approval suggest a strong incumbency advantage for Moore as the November gubernatorial election approaches. The poll also reflects broad public backing for Moore’s economic and infrastructure agenda, positioning the Democratic Party favorably in a state that has historically leaned Democratic in statewide contests.