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India’s Drive to Boost Coal Output Amid a Global Shift Toward Renewables

8/14/2026, 2:38:37 AM

India’s Push to Expand Coal Production

India’s Ministry of Coal has set a target to raise domestic coal output by nearly 100 million tonnes, reaching 1.15 billion tonnes in the 2025-26 fiscal year. The policy is framed as a response to rising electricity demand tied to economic growth and increasingly severe heatwaves linked to climate change.

Surge in New Mine Proposals

According to Global Energy Monitor, an NGO that tracks fossil-fuel projects, proposals for new coal mines in India rose sharply in 2025, adding enough planned capacity for an extra 2.5 billion tonnes of coal annually—an 11 percent increase over the previous year. The bulk of this growth originated in the states of Jharkhand and Odisha, which each doubled their submissions for new mines. The surge follows a post-COVID lull in proposals and occurs despite a worldwide slowdown in the commissioning of new coal facilities.

Global Context and Renewable Shift

While India expands its coal agenda, global trends are moving in the opposite direction. Ember, an energy-policy think-tank, reported that wind and solar power overtook coal in the global electricity mix for the first time last year. China and India contributed most of the renewable growth, whereas the United States and Europe continued to rely more heavily on fossil fuels. Meanwhile, the International Energy Agency projects a decline in coal demand toward the end of the decade, a trajectory that clashes with India’s expansion plans.

Official Outlook and Policy Rationale

Indian officials argue that the increased coal supply is essential for maintaining grid reliability during heatwaves and for supporting continued industrial expansion. The ministry’s plan emphasizes coal’s role as a “bridge” fuel while the country scales up renewable capacity, positioning the increase as a short-term measure to safeguard energy security.

Potential Environmental Implications

Environmental analysts warn that the rise in proposed mines could lock in additional carbon emissions at a time when global emissions need to fall sharply to meet climate targets. The contrast between India’s expansion and the broader decline in new coal projects raises concerns that the country’s trajectory may undermine international efforts to curb fossil-fuel use.