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Quaest Poll Shows Lula Leads Bolsonaro 43%–40%

8/16/2026

25 5 Full Breakdown

Summary

Lula Polls Tighten

A Quaest poll released on August 15, 2026 shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 43% versus Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 40% in runoff and 38% versus 31% in first round, a two-point margin.
An August 5 survey recorded Lula at 44% and Bolsonaro at 39%, indicating the race has tightened.
The poll reports 13% would cast a blank or spoiled ballot and about 30% could change their vote.

Summary

Lula Targets Gig

Lula targets gig workers after formal-job share fell to 38.2 % in December, down from 46.7 % in 2010.
He proposes a shorter work week and rules on pay, conditions and platform algorithms for app workers.
Unionization fell to 8.9 % in 2024 from 15.7 % in 2014.
A 2025 PT survey found 56 % of informal workers want sick-pay protections, while 27.5 % would choose a formal job.

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Lula Polls Tighten

A Quaest poll released on August 15, 2026 shows President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva at 43% versus Senator Flávio Bolsonaro at 40% in runoff and 38% versus 31% in first round, a two-point margin.
An August 5 survey recorded Lula at 44% and Bolsonaro at 39%, indicating the race has tightened.
The poll reports 13% would cast a blank or spoiled ballot and about 30% could change their vote.

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