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U.S. Commerce Recommends 15% Copper Tariff in 2027

8/15/2026

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Story summary
  • The U.S. Commerce Department recommended a tariff on refined copper of 15% from Jan. 1 2027 and 30% from Jan. 1 2028.
  • COMEX copper futures reached a record near $6.90 per pound last week.
  • The COMEX-LME premium indicates a 14.6% chance of 15% tariff in Jan. 2027 and a 37% chance of 30% duty in Jan. 2028.
  • Societe Generale analysts say tight mine supply, U.S.–China competition and tariff uncertainty keep prices high and may raise volatility.