Full Breakdown
Trump’s Approval Rating Slips to New Low as Economic Anxiety Grows
8/18/2026, 4:26:40 AM
Core Event: Declining Approval and Widespread Financial Discontent
A recent Reuters/Ipsos poll shows that only about one-third of Americans now approve of President Donald Trump’s performance, while roughly two-thirds disapprove. This marks the lowest approval level of his second term and ties his all-time low recorded in December 2017. The same poll indicates that a majority of respondents—across party lines—believe the economy has worsened since Trump assumed office.
Background: Inflation, Wage Stagnation, and the Iran Conflict
A Financial Times poll released earlier this month found that more than half of registered voters say their finances have deteriorated since January 2025, including 57 % of independents and nearly 25 % of Republicans. Inflation, after peaking at 4.2 % in May, remained above the rate at the start of Trump’s term at 3.4 % in July. Real wages have fallen as hourly pay failed to keep pace, and the labor market shed roughly 23,000 jobs in the most recent month.
The administration’s ongoing war with Iran has amplified these pressures. The conflict, now in its sixth month, has driven oil prices higher, contributing to rising gasoline costs and broader inflation. A Reuters poll from late July found that only about a third of Americans support the war, while four-in-five expect it to continue for a long time. Just 16 % believe it will end within weeks.
Data Summary
- Overall approval: ~33 % approve, 64 % disapprove (Reuters/Ipsos).
- Economic sentiment: >53 % say they are worse off financially (Financial Times).
- Inflation: 3.4 % in July, down from a May peak of 4.2 %.
- Job losses: ~23,000 jobs shed in the latest month.
- War support: ~33 % support the Iran conflict; 80 % anticipate a prolonged fight (Reuters).
- GOP approval: 79 % of Republican voters approve of Trump, a second-term low (Economist/YouGov).
- Enthusiasm among supporters: Strong approval dropped from 68 % to 48 % since the start of the term (Economist/YouGov).
- Democratic voter certainty: Democrats hold a 10-point lead among voters who say they are certain to vote (Washington Post/Ipsos).
Official Response
President Trump countered the negative economic headlines by emphasizing that the stock market is “doing unbelievably” well from a Wall Street perspective, suggesting that market performance offsets broader pocket-book concerns.
Implications for the 2025 Election Cycle
The convergence of low approval, declining enthusiasm among Republican supporters, and heightened economic anxiety creates a challenging environment for Trump’s re-election prospects. Democratic voters appear increasingly motivated, with a notable advantage among those certain to cast a ballot, potentially reshaping the partisan dynamics as the November election approaches.
