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Peltola Leads Sullivan 55%-47% in Kalshi Contracts

8/18/2026

Summary

Story summary

Kalshi contracts on Aug 13 show U.S. Senator Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) leading Senator Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) 55 % to 47 %.
The Senate Leadership Fund added $2 million in Alaska, raising its total against Peltola to $17 million.
Alaska lost about 700 federal jobs in 2025 (4.5 % cut) and over 1,600 in Q4, prompting University of Alaska Fairbanks scientist Boylan to warn the cuts could shrink U.S. President Donald Trump’s margin in the Sullivan-Peltola race.

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Story summary

Kalshi contracts on Aug 13 show U.S. Senator Mary Peltola (D-Alaska) leading Senator Dan Sullivan (R-Alaska) 55 % to 47 %.
The Senate Leadership Fund added $2 million in Alaska, raising its total against Peltola to $17 million.
Alaska lost about 700 federal jobs in 2025 (4.5 % cut) and over 1,600 in Q4, prompting University of Alaska Fairbanks scientist Boylan to warn the cuts could shrink U.S. President Donald Trump’s margin in the Sullivan-Peltola race.